Re: FAA ACRM and the 65%

Steven Mayes (reno_at_telepath.com)
Thu, 8 Oct 1998 17:59:03 -0500


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First, I'd like to say "what a surprise to hear from Tony Kerns!" Tony,
I'm half way through your book. Thumbs up so far!!

Secondly, concerning the reference to 65% of fatal aircarrier accidents
being caused by human error, I e-mailed the office of Dr. Herman Rediess at
the FAA Office of Aviation Research and got a response. Below is a copy of
the FAA's initial statement and then the response.

"Statistics show that approximately 65 percent of all fatal air
carrier accidents list human error as a probable cause," said Dr.
Herman Rediess, director of the Office of Aviation Research.
"This advanced crew resource management program is just one
example of the FAA's ongoing work with the airline industry to
improve human performance and reduce errors."

> From: Eleana Edens <eleana_edens_at_faa.gov>
> To: reno_at_telepath.com
> Cc: mark_rodgers_at_faa.gov; mark_rodgers_at_faa.gov
> Subject: Human Error Rate
> Date: Wednesday, October 07, 1998 2:51 PM
>
>
> Hi , you were inquiring about the statistic that the director of
> research for the FAA quoted in a recent speech. It is common
practice
> to use the figure of 65% of accidents are human error related. I
> believe that the original statistic came from Boeing documents but
has
> since been quoted widely. I did my dissertation on pilot error
> beginning in 1989 and that was the figure quoted then and I recently

> saw a report on a worldwide accident analysis document that states
> 65%. You can contact Boeing engineering or the Boeing safety office

> in Seattle and they may be able to provide you with more detail on
> their statistical analysis. If I can be of further assistance you
can
> call me at (703)960-1085. Good Luck with your paper. Eleana Edens.

Web site for the Office of Aviation Research
http://www.faa.gov/aar/aarhome.htm

Awaiting comments,
Steve Mayes
smayes_at_ou.edu
reno_at_telepath.com

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First, I'd like to say "what a = surprise to hear from Tony Kerns!"  Tony, I'm half way through = your book.  Thumbs up so far!!

Secondly, concerning the = reference to 65% of fatal aircarrier accidents being caused by human = error, I e-mailed the office of Dr. Herman Rediess at the FAA Office of = Aviation Research and got a response.  Below is a copy of the FAA's = initial statement and then the response.

"Statistics show = that approximately 65 percent of all fatal air
carrier accidents = list human error as a probable cause," said Dr.
Herman Rediess, = director of the Office of Aviation Research.  
"This = advanced crew resource management program is just one
example of the = FAA's ongoing work with the airline industry to
improve human = performance and reduce errors."


> From: Eleana Edens = <eleana_edens_at_faa.gov>
> To: reno_at_telepath.com
> Cc: mark_rodgers_at_faa.gov; = mark_rodgers_at_faa.gov
> Subject: Human Error Rate
> Date: = Wednesday, October 07, 1998 2:51 PM
>
> =      
>      Hi = , you were inquiring about the statistic that the director of
> =      research for the FAA quoted in a recent = speech.  It is common practice
> =      to use the figure of 65% of accidents are = human error related.  I
> =      believe that the original statistic came = from Boeing documents but has
> =      since been quoted widely.  I did my = dissertation on pilot error
> =      beginning in 1989 and that was the figure = quoted then and I recently
>      saw a = report on a worldwide accident analysis document that states
> =      65%.  You can contact Boeing = engineering or the Boeing safety office
> =      in Seattle and they may be able to provide = you with more detail on
>      their = statistical analysis.  If I can be of further assistance you can =
>      call me at (703)960-1085. =  Good Luck with your paper.  Eleana Edens.

Web site for = the Office of Aviation Research =   http://www.faa.gov/aar/aarhome.htm

Awaiting = comments,
Steve =  Mayes
smayes_at_ou.edu
reno_at_telepath.com



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