RE: Risk Management

Bart Stine (102425.2604_at_CompuServe.COM)
24 Feb 97 13:42:22 EST


Good morning!
a few days ago Greg Deen wrote:
Our client, the Air Force, is boldly diving into "Operational Risk
Management". This is an organized and proactive effort for the aviation
community, especially the military, to identify, qualify, manage the risk
factors that a crew is involved with. I am trying to come up to speed on
where it is going, and the local leaders are starting to ask me how we
trainers are going to incorporate this into our training. I have identified
several areas of possibility, but I would like to know if anyone in this
group, especially military oriented missions, have done this. Has any formal
form of "risk management" been addressed in CRM classes or MOST/LOFT
scenarios? If so, what are some of the lessons learned?

I too, am interested in how to address risk management in military
flying. It ssems that the AF has done a fair job of performing risk management
at the macro level - via training rules and limitations on types and currency
requirements in peacetime, and through estimated acceptable losses to complete a
mission, abort criteria etc, in wartime.
As I understand the question, the goal is now to perform the same sorts
of processes at the pilot/crew/formation level. Capt, John Pegg has a pretty
good section on this in the program at Kadena AB. It centers around identifying
the risks in the flight, assessing the cost/benefit ratio and searching for
options to (unavoidable) high-risk situations.
Military flying, by it's very nature involves a greater level of
risk-taking than civil aviation - which may imply a lesser degree a awareness of
those risks. Many of these situations are unavoidable due to the nature of the
buisness - flying airplanes in strange places where others are shooting at you
for instance. I believe the focus of such a program should be identification
of high risk activities (through historical analysis of accidents and incedents)
and training these activities to a higher standard of performance - or replacing
them with lower-risk plans and activities. This would dovetail well with the
informal process in place for combat loss analysis and tactics development.
I look forward to hearing more on this subject,
Bart Stine